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Behavioral Economics / Behavioral psychology / Building construction / Cognitive science / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Data science / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Government / Introduction / Risk Analysis / Simulation / Wicked Problems January 20, 2021
READ MORERight now, getting vaccines “into arms” is the world’s greatest pandemic focus. But everything could change. Says Andy Slavitt, “The headlines we see today…[describe a] massive over-demand and under-supply [of the COVID19 vaccine]…it could easily flip…we could have a massive oversupply, and we have more vaccines than people could possibly need, and now we’re trying […]
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Behavioral psychology / COVID-19 / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Introduction December 10, 2020
READ MOREI was watching last weekend’s anti-mask, anti-vaccination protests in Edinburgh with utter horror and asking myself, how can rational human beings really hold these views, clearly not backed by either history or science? And believe them to the extend they would decide to take part in a mass protest event? In a great article by Maria Angel Ferrero on Medium.com citing […]
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Behavioral psychology / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Decision intelligence / Decison model elements / Dependencies / Externals / Levers / Machine Learning / Outcomes July 29, 2020
READ MOREIn Part 2 of this article, I described why it’s particularly challenging for people to take the right actions in the face of the coronavirus. Now I’ll show you the solution. The solution “…The big entity that isn’t in the room that would help to quench a pandemic is technology…” — Tara O’Toole, CEO, In-Q-Tel […]
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Behavioral psychology / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Decision intelligence / Decison model elements / Dependencies / Externals / Levers / Machine Learning / Outcomes July 28, 2020
READ MOREIn Part 1 of this article, I described the general problem of making decisions in complex environments, along with a decision I made in the face of the coronavirus. Here, I’ll show you how to solve the problem shown above in complex and rapidly changing situations as we are in today with the coronavirus. As […]
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Behavioral psychology / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Decision intelligence / Decison model elements / Dependencies / Externals / Levers / Machine Learning / Outcomes July 27, 2020
READ MORE“Democracy depends on an informed populace. Yet the world is now a complex system, so we must democratize technology that helps us make good decisions, despite the complexity. This is now possible, and just in time.”—Dr. Lorien Pratt, author of Link: How Decision Intelligence Connects Data, Actions, and Outcomes for a Better World Can we vanquish […]
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Behavioral Economics / Behavioral psychology / Cognitive science / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Machine Learning / Risk Analysis / Simulation / Wicked Problems July 23, 2020
READ MOREIn this previous post, I described the motivation for this site, this blog, and a new software solution I’ve been building since catching COVID19. Here, I’ll give a bit more detail about what I’ve been putting together. One view of my system looks like this: What you’re seeing is a simulated downtown San Francisco; people […]