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Behavioral psychology / COVID-19 / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Introduction December 10, 2020
READ MOREI was watching last weekend’s anti-mask, anti-vaccination protests in Edinburgh with utter horror and asking myself, how can rational human beings really hold these views, clearly not backed by either history or science? And believe them to the extend they would decide to take part in a mass protest event? In a great article by Maria Angel Ferrero on Medium.com citing […]
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 3, 2020
READ MOREIn Part 2 of this article, I explained that, without careful thought, intervention in a complex situation will, more often than not, lead to unintended consequences. If we don’t lift our game, I promise you. we’ll be left stumbling in the dark. Here, I’ll describe two best practices that overcome these problems. Best practice 1: […]
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 2, 2020
READ MOREDecision failure patterns in complex environments The two decision failures I covered in Part 1 have different causes, but follow similar patterns. The hit man example is a case of “throwing the baby out with the bathwater”: the unintended consequences of achieving the outcome end up nullifying that very same outcome, as shown below: If […]
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 1, 2020
READ MOREMany years ago, I was hooked on reading crime thrillers, especially the kind that ended with an unexpected twist. One of these in particular has stuck in my mind to this day because the idea behind it resonated with so much of what I was discovering in my academic and professional life, both at the […]