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Behavioral Economics / Behavioral psychology / Building construction / Cognitive science / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Data science / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Government / Introduction / Risk Analysis / Simulation / Wicked Problems January 20, 2021
READ MORERight now, getting vaccines “into arms” is the world’s greatest pandemic focus. But everything could change. Says Andy Slavitt, “The headlines we see today…[describe a] massive over-demand and under-supply [of the COVID19 vaccine]…it could easily flip…we could have a massive oversupply, and we have more vaccines than people could possibly need, and now we’re trying […]
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Aerosolized particles / COVID-19 / Pandemic Safe Buildings / Simulation December 10, 2020
READ MOREOne of the reasons the Coronavirus spreads with such merciless vengeance is that it is transmitted through the air. If you’re in the wrong place at the wrong time you might become infected simply by breathing. Knowing where concentrations of the Coronavirus may be lurking unseen in the air and avoiding those places may help […]
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…we don’t have a shortage of #epidemiologists. Nor #vaccine researchers. Instead, there is a huge gap in the chain from science to reduced fatalities: and YOU must fill it: next-generation #datascience and #softwarearchitecture experts…
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 3, 2020
READ MOREIn Part 2 of this article, I explained that, without careful thought, intervention in a complex situation will, more often than not, lead to unintended consequences. If we don’t lift our game, I promise you. we’ll be left stumbling in the dark. Here, I’ll describe two best practices that overcome these problems. Best practice 1: […]
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 2, 2020
READ MOREDecision failure patterns in complex environments The two decision failures I covered in Part 1 have different causes, but follow similar patterns. The hit man example is a case of “throwing the baby out with the bathwater”: the unintended consequences of achieving the outcome end up nullifying that very same outcome, as shown below: If […]
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Complex Systems / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Guest Post / Simulation / Unintended consequences / Wicked Problems August 1, 2020
READ MOREMany years ago, I was hooked on reading crime thrillers, especially the kind that ended with an unexpected twist. One of these in particular has stuck in my mind to this day because the idea behind it resonated with so much of what I was discovering in my academic and professional life, both at the […]
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Behavioral Economics / Behavioral psychology / Cognitive science / Complex Systems / COVID-19 / Decision Analysis / Decision intelligence / Machine Learning / Risk Analysis / Simulation / Wicked Problems July 23, 2020
READ MOREIn this previous post, I described the motivation for this site, this blog, and a new software solution I’ve been building since catching COVID19. Here, I’ll give a bit more detail about what I’ve been putting together. One view of my system looks like this: What you’re seeing is a simulated downtown San Francisco; people […]
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I caught COVID19 in March, a few weeks after breaking my arm badly enough to need surgery. I made it through, but along the way, and with the perspective afforded by a lot of time on the couch and away from the day-to-day business of Quantellia, I became galvanized to do something about other COVID […]